Research library

Research with a stated question, evidence cutoff, and revision path.

Each publication separates evidence from interpretation and states what would strengthen, weaken, or overturn its conclusion.

All publications

6 research reports

Macro, Policy & Geopolitics / Commodities & Real Assets

Crude Is the Headline. Diesel Is the Shortage.

Research on why crude can look abundant while diesel tightens, and which conversion layers matter if refinery damage and export restrictions persist.

AuthorJulian LiuFormat6-page PDF / EnglishEvidence assets1 original evidence figure + dated verification dashboardAccess$390 individual

Technology & Industrial Systems / Capital Markets & Financial Structure

The Gap Between Committed and Energized

A 16-page Open Variable Research diligence brief for separating announced AI-infrastructure megawatts from capacity that can be energized by a financeable date.

AuthorJulian LiuFormat16-page PDF / EnglishEvidence assets7-layer delivery funnel + 3-tool diligence appendixAccess$390 individual

Commodities & Real Assets / Capital Markets & Financial Structure

The Sorting Year

A diligence brief from Open Variable Research for reading the gap between reported commercial-real-estate recovery and credit stress hidden beneath averages.

AuthorJulian LiuFormat11-page PDF / EnglishEvidence assetsCRE sorting framework + diligence checklistAccess$390 individual

Technology & Industrial Systems / Commodities & Real Assets

The Substation Premium

A diligence brief from Open Variable Research for separating land that appears powered from land that can actually deliver power on a useful timeline.

AuthorJulian LiuFormat7-page PDF / EnglishEvidence assetsFour-filter Repurposing ScreenAccess$390 individual

Technology & Industrial Systems / Commodities & Real Assets

The Death of Location

A diligence brief from Open Variable Research on why the AI power crisis changes how certain land is screened, valued, and discarded.

AuthorJulian LiuFormat6-page PDF / EnglishEvidence assetsPowered Land ScorecardAccess$390 individual

Macro, Policy & Geopolitics / Technology & Industrial Systems

The Broken Ladder

Research on how automating entry-level professional work can weaken the apprenticeship system that produces senior talent, with implications for firms, education, urban property, consumer demand, and public finance.

AuthorJulian LiuFormat7-page PDF / EnglishEvidence assetsLabor-market series + company and sector evidence mapAccess$150 individual